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Soochow securities interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. soochow securities said that the meeting of the Politburo in December put forward three new formulations, indicating that there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. The first is to "stabilize the property market and stock market". On September 26th, the Politburo meeting described the real estate market and the capital market as "to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" and "to vigorously boost the capital market". In December, the Politburo meeting put forward more directly and clearly: "Stabilize the property market and the stock market". The second is "moderately loose monetary policy". After 2010, the keynote of China's monetary policy has been "steady" for a long time, and it has changed to "moderately loose" for the first time in 14 years, and monetary policy is promising. In 2024, the regulatory mechanism of monetary policy has undergone a framework change. Since 2024, loan lending has changed from supply constraint to demand constraint, and monetary policy has gradually weakened its focus on quantitative targets and paid more attention to the role of interest rate regulation. Therefore, the adjustment of "moderate easing" in 2024 may mean that monetary policy will continue to exert its strength from the "demand side" in 2025, and continue to promote the expansion of effective financing demand by maintaining sufficient liquidity supply and reducing financing costs. The third is to "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment". The meeting pointed out: "enrich and improve the policy toolbox, strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and lay a good policy' combination boxing'". The expression "extraordinary countercyclical regulation" was first put forward.Brent crude oil stood at $72/barrel, up 1.57% in the day.Lianchuang Optoelectronics: The smooth-blade series laser anti-UAV products have carried out preliminary cooperation negotiations with several airports. Lianchuang Optoelectronics said on the interactive platform on December 9 that in the face of "low-slow and small" flying objects represented by drones, there is a lot of room in the domestic low-altitude security equipment market. The company's smooth-blade series laser anti-UAV products are combined with the developed "low-altitude defense system command and control platform application software" and have the ability to install and deploy countermeasures equipment groups. To build a low-altitude defense system for users, we have carried out preliminary cooperation negotiations with several airports, but it is still in the early stage of negotiations, and there is still some uncertainty about whether we can expand the domestic airport security market as expected.

Interpretation of Guangfa Strategy December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this may well mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened. Specific to economic work, the first priority is to "expand domestic demand", and the expression of "stabilize the property market and stock market" is more straightforward: the importance of expanding domestic demand is unquestionable, which alleviates the concern of "whether to only resolve risks and lack demand stimulation" in the early stage of the market; In September, the Politburo meeting stated that the stock market should strive to boost the capital market and the property market should "promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". This meeting was more direct in its determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market.Italian prosecutor: Meta did not pay 888 million euros of value-added tax from 2015 to 2021.More than 40 schools in the Indian capital were threatened by bombs, and nearly 1,000 bombs were threatened in air india and the airport. Police in the Indian capital, New Delhi, said on the 9th that at least 40 schools in the city received bomb threats by e-mail. However, after a preliminary investigation, the police found no suspicious items on campus. In addition, the data show that from the beginning of this year to mid-November, Indian airlines and airports were threatened by nearly a thousand bombs, and 12 people were arrested. (CCTV Finance)

At the beginning of the session, most US stocks of industry ETFs fell, while semiconductor ETFs fell by 1.12%, technology ETFs and banking ETFs fell by at least 0.3%, network stock index ETFs rose by over 0.2%, and energy ETFs and optional consumption ETFs rose by about 0.8%.China's first oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold by Meituan, and the oral version of Smegliptide was pre-sold in Meituan at 21: 00 on December 9th. At the same time, Telpotide, which is recognized by the industry as the "strongest rival" of Smegliptide, opened the first appointment in the US Mission. Users in some areas can make an appointment to go to the same city clinic for weight management. It is reported that the scheduled drug delivery service will be opened within one week. This is also the first appointment for the US Mission to win two star medicines again after Nuoheying (Simei Reduced Edition). According to the data of Meituan, the instantaneous search volume of Simei related products doubled from yesterday.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.